consistently dominate the stock market
taking low-risk, high-reward trades using Elliott Wave
TrendLizard’s Trading Performance
|Year||Win/Loss||Ave. Gain||Ave. Loss||S&P 500 return (comparison)||TrendLizard return*|
* These returns are unleveraged and include all commission and trading costs; we handily beat the market every year
what we do
Every day we use the Elliott Wave Theory to forecast the direction of the stock market and its major segments. We look for segments of the market that are entering new short and mid-term trends, and when they do, we tell you exactly how to trade them using Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs).
We trade U.S. market indexes, U.S. market sectors, global markets, commodities, currencies, bonds and volatility. All of our trade recommendations come with exact buy and sell instructions and can be done in your normal trading account or IRA. See what our daily updates or weekly newsletters look like by following these links.
our trading record
# of gains
# of losses
*every trade we’ve made has been set up beforehand with exact buy and sell instructions
the people have spoken
our subscription options
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more info on our trading system
The Elliott Wave Theory allows us to identify very early on when new trends are beginning and when old trends are ending. Additionally, it can allow us to quickly identify the difference between a mid-trend correction and an actual trend reversal.
Trend following allows us to stay in a trend as long as the trend is still in play. The best way to be successful in the market is to capture large portions of big trends, and no other technique does this as well as trend following does.
You don’t need to know a thing about trend-following or the Elliott Wave Theory to use our service – everything we do is presented in remarkably simple terms to make our ideas crystal clear and tradable. But if you’re so inclined, click below to learn more.
We use purposeful trailing stop levels that are based on Fibonacci mathematics.
Fibonacci Mathematics? It sounds scary, but it’s very simple and is the core of our risk management. Fibonacci math tells us what a trend should and shouldn’t do. It allows us to identify and use surprisingly tight stop levels that keep our risk very low at all times. And when you know the exact amount of risk you are taking on every trade, you’ll be amazed at how stress free your investments become.
The only time we exit a trade is when our investment has informed us that the trend we are trading has completed.
Learn more about risk management using Fibonacci.
We trade the following 38 ETFs:
Market Index ETFs: DIA (Dow Jones), SPY (S&P 500), QQQ (Nasdaq), IWM (Russell 2000), IYT (Dow Transports)
Market Sector ETFs: IBB (Biotech), IYR (Real Estate), IYZ (Telecom), XLE (Energy), XLF (Financial), XLK (Technology), XLV (Health Care), XLY (Disretionary)
Global Market ETFs: EEM (Emerging Markets), EPI (India), EWA (Australia), EWG (Germany), EWJ (Japan), EWS (Singapore), EWU (United Kingdom), EWZ (Brazil), FXI (China), RSX (Russia), VEU (World minus U.S.)
Commodity ETFs: DBA (Agriculture), JO (Coffee), GLD (Gold), SLV (Silver), UNG (Natural Gas), USO (Oil)
Currency ETFs: FXA (Australian Dollar), FXC (Canadian Dollar), FXE (Euro), FXY (Yen), UUP (US Dollar)
Bond and Volatility ETFs: UVXY (Vix), LQD (Investment Grade Corporate Bonds), IEF (7-10 Year Treasuries)
There are significant benefits to using ETFs as our trading vehicle:
– We are able to expose ourselves to as many dynamic market trends as possible.
– We can trade a wide range of distinct markets. Most investors trade only US markets, but that’s not always where the greatest returns can be found, nor is it the right way to diversify.
– We can trade markets that would otherwise require a special account; all we need to trade ETFs is a normal trading account or IRA.
– We can focus our trading on only the strongest markets without having to worry about the risk associated with any one company – instant diversification.
– ETFs have huge levels of volume, so liquidity is never a problem.
– There are many “inverse” ETFs, that allow you to profit from downtrends. This allows you to take bearish positions in accounts (like an IRA) where previously it wasn’t possible.
– Trading only specific ETFs (as listed above) allow us to “get to know” each ETF, and to understand how they like to move over time to better understand when opportunities arise.
All trades recommended in our daily analysis are near-term trades, while the trades recommended in the weekly newsletter are intended to be mid-term trades. Our near-term trades are more frequent and aggressive, while our mid-term trades are more infrequent and selective. However in both cases, we stay in a trade for as long as the trend is in play, and therefore our trade holding time varies widely. We have held trades for less than a week (normally a loss), and we have held trades for over 10 months (normally a sizable gain).
If we averaged all of them out, we’d probably find our average holding time to be around two months. But in reality, we trade for exactly as long as the market we’re trading allows us to.